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Cake day: June 24th, 2025

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  • Georgia’s 14th district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index is R+19. That means that if the Republican candidate for President gets 45% nationwide, then the vote is expected to be 64% in that district.

    Normally, an R+19 district would be untouchable for Democrats. Probably wouldn’t even run a candidate, and if they do, it’d be a strategic move to force the GOP to spend money on what should be a gimme. I met a woman once who ran in a race like that, and it ain’t a fun job.

    That said, Democrats overperformed in the recent elections to close to that number, so it’s not out of reach.