Ask a prediction market and watch someone take the odds into their own hands.

Since you are a software engineer you must know the difference between deterministic software like a spellchecker and something stochastic like an LLM. You must also understand the difference between a well defined process like a spellchecker and an undefined behavior like an LLM hallucinating. Now ask your LLM if comparing these two technologies in the way you are is a bad analogy. If the LLM says it is a good analogy then you are prompting it wrong. The fact that we can’t agree on what an LLM should say on this matter and that we can get it to say either outcome demonstrates that an LLM cannot distinguish fact from fiction, rather it makes these determinations on what is effectively a vibe check.

But doctors and nurses’ minds effectively hallucinate just the same and are prone to even the most trivial of brain farts like fumbling basic math or language slip-ups

The difference is that the practitioner can distinguish the difference from hallucination from fact while an LLM cannot.

We can’t underestimate the capacity to have the strengths of a supercomputer at least acting as a double-checker on charting, can we?

A supercomputer is only as powerful as it’s programming. This is avoiding the whole “if you understand the problem then you are better off writing a program than using an LLM” by hand waving in the word “supercomputer”. The whole “train it better” doesn’t get away from this fact either.

A spellchecker doesn’t hallucinate new words. LLMs are not the tool for this job, at best it might be able to take some doctor write up and encode it into a different format, ie here’s the list of drugs and dosages mentioned. But if you ask it whether those drugs have adverse reactions, or any other question that has a known or fixed process for answering, then you will be better served writing code to reflect that process. LLMs are best for when you don’t care about accuracy and there is no known process that could be codified. Once you actually understand the problem you are asking it to help with, you can achieve better accuracy and efficiency by codifying the solution.

Step 1: place a bet on a prediction market that Dr Oz will be alive past a certain date

Step 2: get others to place “bets”

Step 3: pew pew

Step 4: someone gets rich

Edit: this is why such markets should be illegal

2020: you have your facts and I have my facts

2025: you have your prompts and I have my prompts

They want artificial employees to discipline the labor market but what they will get instead is a deskilled labor force and business structures that are even more resistant to adaptation.

Guy actually wins the election and the popular vote and you say he did worse than Harris?

It’s funny, we hear about “be nice or you will push them further right” but really it’s the shitty policies that push people to look for more extreme solutions. Wait, that isn’t funny…

It’s barbarism or socialism. Choose wisely.

When being a contrarian asshole becomes your marketing strategy.

Voting works, but it doesn’t work if that’s your only tactic.

Let’s not even argue what “works better”, we need a diversity of tactics and we need to take all the power available to us.

Ehh, collective violence is different from lone wolf violence and have very different outcomes. Also the vast majority of these lone wolves follow right-wing ideology so us being pushed further to fascism is arguably their goal.

Here’s the thing, if we keep doing politics that plays to people’s stupidity rather than their ability to think independently then we might as well ditch democracy.

We don’t know if the victim did nothing though, she talked to a detective for over 20 minutes and so far we have not seen any documents regarding that conversation. She could have even done more than you, but we should not expect her to even though that is the response of some victims, it is not a universal response.

Capitalism is when most people don’t know the definition of capitalism:

an economic and political system in which a country’s trade and industry are controlled by private owners for profit.

Which sounds a lot like oligarchy with a profit motive.

There are plenty of reasons to make up a story.

Like being targeted for harassment and possibly get murdered? This is not a typical rape accusation, it is made against someone who has been carrying out extra-judicial murders abroad.

And I bet she took great effort to gather evidence

This is classic rape apologetics. It is not the victim’s job to collect evidence while they are distressed, that’s the job of the investigators.

There’s another report in the files where a woman did report her rape to the police and she was later found dead with her “head blown off”. Under a functional justice system that would be thoroughly investigated, under our system it was quickly ruled a suicide because she took “bad cocaine”.

These papers are being released because our justice system did not protect these victims. It is up to the public to ask questions and we need not presume innocence of the powerful as they failed to protect the vulnerable.

I mean chattel slavery requires rape at some point and the vast majority of the Founding Fathers were slave owners…