• givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    Polls always matter, you just have to understand polls.

    This is with third party options and show Biden up 2% which is probably close to margin of error.

    It doesn’t mean Biden has it in the bag, but it means his chances are improved.

    But Biden risks the same dangers Hillary did in 2016.

    People don’t really want to vote for them, they just don’t want trump. So there’s a risk if Biden is polling too well (I don’t think it will be an issue) people will stay home thinking they don’t need to compromise their morals because trump will lose.

    It’s a dangerous game, and we wouldn’t have to play it if we ran a candidate popular with Dem voters.

    • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      So there’s a risk if Biden is polling too well (I don’t think it will be an issue) people will stay home thinking they don’t need to compromise their morals because trump will lose.

      That’s largely how Romney lost to Obama in 2012. Republican turnout sagged in a year when both candidates’ approval ratings were underwater. Mitt lost a bunch of midwestern states that a candidate like Bush or Trump could have won, thanks to his vulture capitalist career alienating blue-collar conservatives and his weird knock-off religion alienating evangelicals.